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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA COAL HITS RECORD HIGH AMID TIGHT SUPPLIES - REUTERS
China coal prices hit a record high on Tuesday buoyed by a widening power crunch and cold weather despite Beijing’s efforts to bolster supply ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
IMO 2020, Ballast Water Treatment regulations, Green Recycling, GHG emissions, EEXI, CII, ETS, Fit for 55, Carbon price/levy, the Poseidon Principl ...
Tuesday, 19 October 21
SPONGE IRON SECTOR MIGHT REPORT NEGATIVE GROWTH DUE TO COAL CRISIS: SIMA - PTI
The domestic sponge iron industry might report a negative growth in the ongoing December quarter “if the shortage of coal is allowed to conti ...
Tuesday, 19 October 21
COAL INDIA, THE FALL GUY FOR POWER CRISIS - INDIA EXPRESS
The post-Covid economic recovery has led to a major increase in the demand for power, both in India and globally. In India, coal-based power plants ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
SOLAR INSTALLATION SURGE PUTS INDIA ON TRACK TO CAP COAL-FIRED POWER AS EARLY AS 2024 - IEEFA
Recent increase in solar power installations could push coal to peak sooner than expected
If India keeps installing solar capacity a ...
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- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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