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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
.jpg) COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 25 October 21
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
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