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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 02 February 24
DRY BULK MARKET: THE DOWNWARD REVISION IN THE GROWTH OF CAPESIZE TONNE DAYS IN JANUARY WITH THE BCI DROPPING - MARIA BERTZELETOU
In the last week of January, the dry freight market sustained weakness in the Capesize segment, while the number of ballasters in the Southeast (SE ...
Friday, 02 February 24
COAL INDIA ACHIEVES NEARLY 80% OF ITS FY24 PRODUCTION TARGET IN TEN MONTHS - CNBCTV18
For the month of January, the company’s production grew by 9.1% from the same period last year to 78.4 Million Tonnes (MT), from 71.9 MT last ...
Thursday, 01 February 24
CHINA'S WIND, SOLAR CAPACITY TO OVERTAKE COAL IN 2024 - INDUSTRY BODY, REUTERS REPORTED
China’s installed wind and solar capacity is expected to overtake coal for the first time this year, according to industry forecasts.
&nb ...
Thursday, 01 February 24
ANTI-DEDUCTION CLAUSES: CAN A CHARTERER WITHHOLD HIRE WITHOUT AN OWNER'S CONSENT? - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Summary
In The Anna Dorothea, the Court found that where a charterparty provides that no deduction from hire may be m ...
Thursday, 01 February 24
INDIA REBUILDS COAL STOCKS TO ENSURE ELECTRIC RELIABILITY - REUTERS
India’s electricity supply is much more comfortable at the start of 2024 than in either 2023 or 2022 as coal production has ramped up and the ...
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- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
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