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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 31 January 24
CHINA'S INNER MONGOLIA COAL OUTPUT HIT 1.21B TONS IN 2023 - XINHUA
North China’s Inner Mongolia autonomous region churned out 1.21 billion tons of coal in 2023 as it strives to guarantee the country’s e ...
Wednesday, 31 January 24
GAS EXPORTS COST U.S. CONSUMERS MORE THAN $100 BILLION OVER 16-MONTH PERIOD - IEEFA
Limited Demand Growth Could Dampen the Dry Bulk Market in the Coming Months BIMCOStarting in late 2021—before its invasion of Ukraine—R ...
Tuesday, 30 January 24
LIMITED DEMAND GROWTH COULD DAMPEN THE DRY BULK MARKET IN THE COMING MONTHS - BIMCO
Demand
In our base scenario, we expect cargo demand to grow by 0-1% in 2024 and 0.5-1.5% in 2025. This is a 0.5 percentage point reduction for ...
Friday, 26 January 24
RED SEA DIVERSIONS ADD NEARLY A MILLION DOLLARS PER VOYAGE TO SHIPPING COSTS WHILE DOUBLING TRANSIT TIME - LSEG
The incremental costs of diverting a tanker from Asia to NW Europe via the Cape of Good Hope is accounting for an extra $932,905 USD per voyage whi ...
Friday, 26 January 24
HARD COAL GUARDIAN ANGEL OF THE ENERGY SUPPLY - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
- No security of supply without hard coal
- The Substitute Power Plant Provision Act (EKBG) must be extended
- Higher grid fees due to the ...
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Coal Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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