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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 13 January 14
INDONESIAN ORE BAN TO HAVE LIMITED IMPACT ON CHINESE ALUMINIUM PRODUCERS, FITCH RATINGS SAYS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says today that Indonesia's ban on exports of unprocessed mineral ore will have limited impact on Chinese aluminium pro ...
Sunday, 12 January 14
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUE TO REMAIN WEAK NEXT WEEK - SOLYM CARRIERS
Wish You A very Happy New Year
COALspot.com: The market has dropped quite a lot as expected due to holidays and probably also the effect of ban o ...
Friday, 10 January 14
DECISION ON ORE EXPORT BAN WILL BE MADE TOMORROW: INDUSTRY MINISTER, JG SAYS
Industry Minister M.S. Hidayat dismissed reports on Thursday that the government had made a decision on the matter. “We will only make a decis ...
Friday, 10 January 14
US COAL PRODUCTION UP 5.8% ON WEEK IN WEEK ENDED SATURDAY 4 JANUARY
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 09 January 14
THE INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT EASES ORE EXPORT BAN
COALspot.com: The Indonesian government has finally agreed to ease the ore-export ban just a few days before the Sunday deadline amid protests from ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
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