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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 15 January 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FALL BY 6.57% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q1’ 14 delivery lost 6.57 percept month on month and closed at US$ 78.90 per mt as ...
Wednesday, 15 January 14
INDONESIAN MINING LAW AVERTS BOP PRESSURE, RISKS REMAIN, FITCH SAYS
The last-minute intervention at the weekend by Indonesia's politicians to avert a significant disruption of mining activity and exports, should lim ...
Wednesday, 15 January 14
Q3 AND Q4 INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS DECLINE MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB) for average Q1’ 14 delivery lost $ 1.23 pmt month on month on Friday 10 January 2014. T ...
Wednesday, 15 January 14
PANAMAX: PACIFIC - REMAINED QUIET; ATLANTIC - CONTINUED THEIR RETREAT
COALspot.com: The holiday hangover seems well underway for the Dry Bulk market that saw more ground being lost this past week. The BDI has closed of ...
Tuesday, 14 January 14
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE PORT'S WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS FALL 18.28 %
COALspot.com: In the week ended January 13, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled 2.67 ...
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- The University of Queensland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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