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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 23 April 14
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR LOW VOLATILE BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com : Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd. has invited bids through International open bidding for 90,000 Metric Tons (MT) of low volatile bit ...
Tuesday, 22 April 14
INDONESIAN MARCH COAL EXPORT VOLUME SURGE 9.12% TO 35.54 MMT
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producer and the global largest multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.9 ...
Tuesday, 22 April 14
NEWCASTLE WEEKLY COAL EXPORTS FELL 13.33% THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 21 April 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensl ...
Monday, 21 April 14
Q1'15 SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP SHOWING A POSITIVE TREND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q2’ 2014 gain on month and on week according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports rele ...
Monday, 21 April 14
Q4 2014 AND Q1 2015 COAL SWAPS CLOSED MARGINALLY HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2 PRICES
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries gained 0.87 percent month on month and closed at US$ 76.15 per mt as ...
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- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- White Energy Company Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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