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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 29 April 14
Q4 SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 1.07 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2 DELIVERY PRICE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q2’ 2014 gain on month and on week according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports rele ...
Tuesday, 29 April 14
NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 3.03 MILLION TONS WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 28 April 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensl ...
Tuesday, 29 April 14
Q2 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP LOST 0.29% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 0.29 percent month on month and closed at US$ 75.43 per mt as o ...
Monday, 28 April 14
CHINA LIKELY TO FALL SHORT OF NUCLEAR POWER TARGETS AT 175GW OF CAPACITY BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Coal will remain dominant supply at 64% of power mix
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that China will not meet its environmentally-driven, government ...
Sunday, 27 April 14
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE STEADY NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market seems to have bottomed out and saw some marginal gains in all segments, said Capt. Reddy of Vistaar Shipping In ...
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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