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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 19 May 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL LOST 2.49% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 2.49 percent month on month and closed at US$ 74.35 per mt as on F ...
Sunday, 18 May 14
FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE FIRM NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady with the BDI was closed slightly higher at 1027 points or up 3.00 pct week on week.
The Cape ...
Friday, 16 May 14
KOMIPO IS LOOKING FOR 60K MT OF LOW VOLATILE BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com : Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd. has invited bids through International open bidding for 60,000 Metric Tons (MT) of low volatile bitumi ...
Friday, 16 May 14
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TOTALED APPROXIMATELY 18.9 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
Thursday, 15 May 14
PANAMAX : SHORT PERIOD UP TO ONE YEAR REPORTED IN THE 12.000-12.500 RANGE - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The Supra and handy market seems to be affected by the recent holidays in Singapore which still relatively quiet. There are some Indo / ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PTC India Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- White Energy Company Limited
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