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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 23 May 14
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Thursday, 22 May 14
CAPESIZE : RATES ARE STILL UNDER PRESSURE
Handy
A quiet start into the week in Far East, some fresh Indonesian coal order in the market. For trips within S.E. Asia, Supras are trading aro ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- The University of Queensland
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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