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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 22 March 24
INDONESIA APPROVES 922.14 MLN T COAL PRODUCTION QUOTA FOR 2024, ABOVE TARGET - REUTERS
Indonesia has approved coal production quotas totalling 922.14 million metric tons for 2024, Bambang Suswantono, a senior official at the mining mi ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CHINA COAL INDUSTRY GROUP EXPECTS OUTPUT GROWTH TO SLOW IN 2024 - REUTERS
China’s coal output is expected to increase 36 million metric tons, or 0.8%, to about 4.7 billion tonnes in 2024, a Chinese coal industry gro ...
Monday, 18 March 24
THREE KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM OUR EUROPE GAS MARKETS SHORT-TERM OUTLOOK Q1 2024 - WOOD MACKENZIE
European gas prices are currently back to pre-crisis levels, but with a complex series of factors affecting future supply and demand, are they set ...
Wednesday, 06 March 24
INDONESIA AIMS TO FINISH MINING OUTPUT QUOTAS APPROVAL BY END-MARCH, OFFICIAL SAYS - REUTERS
Indonesia’s has approved the mining production quotarequests from more than 120mineral companies and aims to complete the approval process th ...
Monday, 04 March 24
IS YOUR GUARANTEE A GUARANTEE? NOTE TO SHIPOWNERS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The law of guarantees is not always obvious or easy to understand without proper guidance. This article clarifies the dif ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Australian Coal Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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