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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 24 June 24
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Friday, 14 June 24
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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