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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 15 June 16
THE DRY BULK PRICES CORRECTED UPWARDS ROUGHLY 15% - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
Once more, the international shipping community turned its attention to Greece and more specifically to Attica that hosted Posidonia, the biggest m ...
Tuesday, 14 June 16
CS COAL INDICES ROSE UP FOR A THIRD STRAIGHT WEEK; 4200 GAR COAL UP 0.73%
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up 0.54 percent week over week to averaging $39.37 per ton this past week, shows ...
Monday, 13 June 16
DEMAND FOR DRY BULK COMMODITIES COULD PROVIDE FUTURE BOOST FOR SHIP OWNERS - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
When it comes to the dry bulk market, shipowners these days are looking for news in any shape or form they can find them. However, as the discussio ...
Monday, 13 June 16
ONSHORE SHALE: WORTH KEEPING IN THE SHIPPING SPOTLIGHT CLARKSONS
Generally, shipping industry watchers spend much of their time monitoring events out to sea: how fleets are evolving, trade volumes growing and fre ...
Monday, 13 June 16
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 5.03% MORE COAL IN MAY; AVERAGE SELLING PRICE DECLINED 2.08% FROM APRIL
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU 1.162bill ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The University of Queensland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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