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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 27 June 16
THE BDI UP 3.75 PERCENT ; BCI FELL 1.51% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week. The BDI was up 3.75 percent from las ...
Monday, 27 June 16
INDONESIA BANS (AGAIN) SHIPS SAILING TO THE PHILIPPINES FROM INDONESIA
COALspot.com: The Indonesian Transport Ministry strictly prohibited harbour masters issuing permits to all Indonesian-flagged vessels bound for the ...
Friday, 24 June 16
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP MARGINALLY
COALspot.com – U.S, world’s one of the largest coal producers has produced approximately totalled an estimated 13.4 million short tons ...
Wednesday, 22 June 16
SMALL RISE IN SHIPPING CONFIDENCE - MOORE STEPHENS
In May 2016, the average confidence level expressed by respondents in the markets in which they operate was 5.1 on a scale of 1 (low) to 10 (high). ...
Wednesday, 22 June 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - NASSOS SOULAKIS
Stagnation- With the BDI stuck in the low 600 points for almost a month now, if we had to choose a word to describe the state of the Dry Bulk freig ...
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
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