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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 21 March 17
DESPITE THE CHALLENGING MARKET SITUATION IN 2016 THE DELTA DUNIA MAKMUR HAS ACHIEVED A NET PROFIT OF US$37 MILLION
COALspot.com: PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. has announced its financial results for the period ended December 31, 2016.
Despite challenging marke ...
Tuesday, 21 March 17
JAPAN'S RENEWED COMMITMENT TO COAL - BENJAMIN SPORTON
Japan is one of the largest economies in the world, and has long been a major consumer and importer of energy and a leader in energy technology dev ...
Monday, 20 March 17
IS THE DRY BULK INDUSTRY STILL ON TRACK FOR PROFITABILITY IN 2019? - PETER SAND
The industry remains well on target for profitable freight rates in 2019! This relies however, on the projected fleet supply growth rate of 0% in 2 ...
Friday, 17 March 17
U.S WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT VOLUME SLIDES 6.5 PERCENT WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 14.7 million short ton ...
Thursday, 16 March 17
CHINA IMPOSING TOUGHER CONTROLS ON LOW-QUALITY COAL IMPORTS
China is ramping up controls on imports of low-quality coal due to concerns about smog and overcapacity in the world’s top coal consumer, a g ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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