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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 30 March 17
WHERE AN AGREEMENT FAILS TO DELIVER - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Watson Farley & Williams acted for MRI Trading AG in a leading case on ‘agreements to agree’ that was fin ...
Thursday, 30 March 17
PANAMAX : ACTIVITY IN THE PANAMAX MARKET HAS INCREASED SUBSTANTIALLY IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
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Thursday, 30 March 17
THE ROLE OF COAL IN THE ENERGY SUPPLY OF THE EU-28: HANS-WILHELM SCHIFFER
The European Union (EU-28) is one of the largest economies in the world, with a gross domestic product (GDP) of €14,635 billion in 2015. It ha ...
Wednesday, 29 March 17
MARKET INSIGHT - NASOS SOULAKIS
Shipowners will always look for market signals in order to gauge market perception and decide upon which strategy to follow next. And while owners ...
Monday, 27 March 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUED TO FIRM WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: The Freight market was continuing to firming up.
The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities ros ...
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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