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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 13 November 18
INDIA: POWER DEMAND UP; COAL STOCKS AT MINES AT A 5-YEAR LOW - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Stocks at Coal India mines plunged to a five-year low of 21 million tonne (mt) in October, as a sudden surge in demand for the fuel from the power ...
Monday, 12 November 18
COAL BUSINESS REMAINS PROSPECTIVE - ANTARA
Coal business happened to be sluggish in the 2012-2015 period because coal prices in the world market fell sharply, but it has begun to crawl up si ...
Monday, 12 November 18
INDONESIA'S HBA ENDS DECLINE IN NOVEMBER
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 07 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASILIS MOIRIS
This has been another active week in the second-hand market for both the dry bulk and tanker sectors. Buying interest has recently increased, which ...
Monday, 05 November 18
TIGHTER FUEL RULES COULD RAISE SHIPOWNERS' COSTS AND CAPEX - FITCH RATINGS
More stringent fuel regulations regarding sulphur content could significantly increase global shipping companies’ operating costs and capex n ...
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The University of Queensland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
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