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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 19 November 18
SUPRAMAX: THE BSI CONTINUED TO FALL LAST WEEK, ESPECIALLY THE ASIAN ROUTES - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
After a cut throat couple of weeks, the market finally appeared to have found a floor and rates ticked up. Those analysts that predict ...
Sunday, 18 November 18
COAL STOCKS IN A THIRD OF NTPC PLANTS CLOSE TO NIL - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Coal supply shortage continues to haunt NTPC, the country’s largest power generator, with latest government data showing 31% of the company&r ...
Thursday, 15 November 18
OIL MARKET REPORT: HEEDING THE WARNINGS - IEA
In last month’s Report, we noted that since the middle of the year oil supply had increased sharply, with gains in the Middle East, Russia an ...
Wednesday, 14 November 18
BIMCO ADOPTS 2020 BUNKER CLAUSES
BIMCO has developed two 2020 bunker clauses that deal with general compliance and the transitional period for an early December release.
...
Wednesday, 14 November 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The shipping industry is going through an interesting period across all markets. Since the end of last year, the Dry Baltic Index has been showing ...
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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