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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 13 February 19
MALAYSIA WAS THE REGION'S LARGEST COAL IMPORTER WITH 34 MT IN 2018, UP 25% Y-O-Y
Although coal market in 2018 started with strong prices, starting in the beginning of the second half of 2018, the international spot prices for co ...
Wednesday, 13 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
If there is one word that can describe the current shipping environment then that this word is most probably “volatility.” The sentimen ...
Saturday, 09 February 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000-TONNER WAS REPORTED FIXED DELIVERY FOR AN EAST KALIMANTAN TRIP, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $9,250 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Cape
The Vale disaster weighed heavily on the market for big ships, with uncertainty about shipments/future exports leading to a sharp drop in ...
Friday, 08 February 19
LOWER-QUALITY INDONESIA EXPORTS ROSE 39 MT IN 2018 YOY PRIMARILY IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED DEMAND FROM CHINA AND INDIA - PEABODY
"Underlying seaborne met and thermal coal conditions remain quite positive and the pace of U.S. coal-fueled power plant retirements is expecte ...
Thursday, 07 February 19
QATAR CAN GAIN FROM DECLINING COAL - THE PENINSULA
With North America and Europe closing down their old coal and nuclear plants, major gas exporters like Qatar can and should gain market share. With ...
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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