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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 19 February 19
AUSTRALIA'S COAL FUTURE UNDER THREAT AS MORE CHANGES HIT FOSSIL FUELS GLOBALLY - ABC
Two disparate decisions from opposite corners of the world have sounded warnings for the future of Australia’s coal industry.
...
Tuesday, 19 February 19
FAST DEPLETING COAL RESERVES COULD PUSH UP ENERGY PRICES, CAUTIONS EXPERT - THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The fast depletion of coal, a strategic resource and India’s fuel of choice currently, has huge implications for energy costs, according to K ...
Monday, 18 February 19
INDIA'S COAL IMPORT FALLS TO 17.25 MT IN JANUARY - PTI
Coal imports saw a decline in January FY 2019 to 17.25 MT from 19.59 MT in the same month of the previous fiscal, according to a report by mjunctio ...
Monday, 18 February 19
THE ROLE OF COAL IN INDIA'S ENERGY AMBITIONS - WCA
India is the world’s second most populous country and figures among the world’s most rapidly growing economies.
The Sout ...
Saturday, 16 February 19
COALTRANS CHINA 2019, CHINA'S LARGEST COAL INDUSTRY GATHERING
Press Release: Coaltrans China 2019 | With the import ban likely to be lifted, it’s time for you to meet your potentia ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Coal Association
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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