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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 29 May 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
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Sunday, 26 May 19
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Wednesday, 22 May 19
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Saturday, 18 May 19
SUPRAMAX: 56,000DWT OPEN PANJANG FIXING AT $10,500 FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA, AND REDELIVERY CHINA - BALTIC EXCHANGE
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The market continues to ebb and flow with a generally positive up trend. The Capesize 5TC opened with upward momentum from last week&r ...
Friday, 17 May 19
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE REMAINS FLAT - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price remained flat during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
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