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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 09 June 19
SUPRAMAX: ASIA LOST GROUND; THE INDIAN OCEAN SAW SLOWER ACTIVITY - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market continued in an unusually steady ascent last week. With no major news in the market, each day improved on the last, breakin ...
Friday, 07 June 19
KOEN INVITED BIDS FOR 1.87 MILLION TONS OF COAL FOR JULY - OCTOBER 2019 DELIVERY
COALspot.com: South Korea’s KOREA SOUTH-EAST POWER CO., LTD. (KOEN) has issued an international tender for 1,700,000 to 1,870,000 Metric Tons ...
Wednesday, 05 June 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The first semester of 2019 started as a fairly positive semester for the offshore sector whilst there was a recovery on crude prices, as well as a ...
Tuesday, 04 June 19
MARPOL ANNEX VI - SULPHUR CAP 2020 - DEMYSTIFYING THE FONAR - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Fuel Oil Non-Availability Report (FONAR) is primarily a discretionary tool for a Member State to lessen the breach of MAR ...
Monday, 03 June 19
SUPRAMAX: A 61,000 TONNER OPEN NORTH CHINA, FIXING A TRIP VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY SOUTHEAST ASIA AT $7,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market continued its steady ascent over the past week to improved levels. The TC average opened the previous week at $12,243 and c ...
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- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
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