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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 25 March 20
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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