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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 31 March 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.43 PCT - XINHUA
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The index, released by Chi ...
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CORONAVIRUS - IMPLICATIONS FOR SHIPS AND CREW - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
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LAY-UP AND RE-ACTIVATION REVISITED - GARD
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PANAMAX: INDONESIA LACKED VOLUME, PARTLY DUE TO FORCE MAJEURE IN INDIAN PORTS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
As Covid-19 continued to ratchet up tensions across the globe, the Cape market dealt with the change to remote working. Most regions o ...
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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