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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 18 August 20
BLACKBALLED: WILL COAL BOUNCE BACK FROM SLUMP OR IS IT TERMINAL? - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
Even by the standards of this miserable year, 2020 has been a shocker for the global coal industry.
As the lockdown kicked in demand ...
Friday, 14 August 20
EIA: COAL PLANTS UNECONOMICAL IN MOST REGIONS - IEEFA
U.S. coal power generation plunged by 30 percent in the first half of 2020 off an already-depressed base, shoved out by natural gas and renewables ...
Thursday, 13 August 20
INDIA SHOULD RECORD A SLIGHT DECREASE IN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS, REACHING A VOLUME OF 167 MILLION TONS BY THE END OF 2020 - ASSOCARBONI
Regarding 2020 thermal coal imports forecasts, Vietnam’s coal imports showed a very strong growth in the first half of 2020 and it is believe ...
Thursday, 13 August 20
INDONESIA REMAINS THE LARGEST EXPORTER OF COAL IN THE WORLD - ASSOCARBONI
According to the last Assocarboni data for 2019, Indonesia remains the largest exporter in the world. Thermal coal exports have in fact reached 456 ...
Wednesday, 12 August 20
VIETNAM WAS THE PROTAGONIST OF A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN COAL IMPORTS IN 2019 - ASSOCARBONI
The latest Assocarboni data for 2019 also provide a detailed picture on the trend of the global coal import.
According to Assocarbon ...
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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