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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 21 August 20
BHP COMMITS TO SELLING ITS THERMAL COALMINES WITHIN TWO YEARS - THE GUARDIAN
Move follows pressure from investors but company stops short of full exit from coalmining
BHP has announced it plans to sell off its ...
Thursday, 20 August 20
MINER BHP CONFIRMS PLANS TO EXIT THERMAL COAL SECTOR - THE SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
The head of mining giant BHP has laid out plans for a reshaping of its global operations by seeking to quit thermal coal mining, offload some cokin ...
Thursday, 20 August 20
LONDON RETAINS ARBITER CROWN - BALTIC EXCHANGE | HFW
Fears that the UK’s decision to leave the European Union would dent the reputation of the nation’s capital as the leader in maritime ar ...
Wednesday, 19 August 20
U.S. COAL STOCKPILES STEADILY INCREASE AFTER REACHING LOWEST LEVEL IN A DECADE IN 2019 - EIA
After reaching their lowest level in more than a decade in March 2019, U.S. coal stockpiles steadily increased to 152 million tons in April 2020, r ...
Wednesday, 19 August 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.26 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 124.92 points Monday, down 0.26 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
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