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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 12 June 09
THERMAL COAL PRICE REMAINS STABLE IN SHANXI - STEEL GURU
It is reported that coming into June, no major changes are seen in coal supply-demand relations in Shanxi province. Statistics of Qinhuangdao port, ...
Thursday, 11 June 09
PT NALCO PLANS TO CONSTRUCT COAL-FIRED POWER PLANT IN SOUTH SUMATRA - ENERGY BUSINESS REVIEW
PT Nalco (National Aluminium Company Limited), an Indian-based company, plans to construct a coal-fired power plant in South Sumatra. The company in ...
Thursday, 11 June 09
COAL PRODUCERS TO SEE BOOST IN DEMAND FROM ASIA PACIFIC - JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, at the recent 15th Coaltrans conference in Bali, we noted concerns related to rising oil prices at a faster pace tha ...
Wednesday, 10 June 09
BHP TO CUT 450 JOBS AT INDONESIAN COAL PROJECT - REUTERS
Reuters reported that, BHP Billiton Ltd will lay off all 450 workers at its Indonesian coal project after deciding not to go ahead with the pr ...
Monday, 08 June 09
PTC INDIA TO ACQUIRE COAL MINES IN AUSTRALIA, INDONESIA - PTI NEWS
PTI reported that, State-owned Power Trading Corp today said it would acquire coal properties overseas and has identified mines in Australia and Ind ...
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- The University of Queensland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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