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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 13 June 09
CLEARLY THE DRIVER FOR DRY BULK MARKET SEEMS TO BE IMPORTS BY CHINA - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com (Singapore): The market saw mixed results last week. The beginning of the week saw the indices dropping including the futures , however t ...
Friday, 12 June 09
SOUTH SUMATERA SPEEDS UP INTERNATIONAL HARBOR CONSTRUCTION - TEMPO INTERACTIVE
The South Sumatera Government will speed up construction of the international harbor Tanjung Api-Api. The harbor is a strategic entry point for comm ...
Friday, 12 June 09
CHINA SHENHUA NOT EYEING NEW FOREIGN COAL MINES - MEDIA
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd , the top Chinese coal miner, will not consider buying any major overseas mines before it starts operating the Watermark ...
Friday, 12 June 09
CHINA TOP POWER COS SIGN REGIONAL COAL DEALS - REUTERS
China's top five power generating groups have signed 2009 coal supply contracts with miners in Guizhou and Xinjiang, with prices up 4 percent on th ...
Friday, 12 June 09
MERCATOR LINES TARGETS 30 MILLION TONNE FROM MOZAMBIQUE COAL MINE - STEEL GURU
India’s second largest private shipping company Mercator Lines has targeted production of 30 million tonnes of coal from its Mozambique mine o ...
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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