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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 23 June 09
NAPOCOR TO RE-TENDER FOR 195,000 T COAL IN JULY
Electricity producer National Power Corp. (Napocor) will hold a tender on July 15 to buy 195,000 tons of steam coal for its Sual power station, the ...
Monday, 22 June 09
ONE DIES IN KUTAI COAL TUNNEL COLLAPSE
The Jakarta Post reported that, A tunnel at a coal mine belonging to company PT Fajar Bumi Sakti in Kutai Kartanegara, East Kalimantan collapsed on ...
Monday, 22 June 09
THIS WEEK IS EXPECTED TO BE FIRM AND DEMAND OF SHIPS WOULD BE STRONG - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com (Singapore): The BDI up by 487 points over last week which is an increase of almost 13 pct. The increase is again mainly due to Ca ...
Monday, 22 June 09
CHINESE MAY COAL IMPORTS HIT RECORD 9.43 MILLION TONNES
Reuters quoted Custom Data showed that China's coal imports hit an all-time record of 9.43 million tonnes in May.
The figure surpasses the previ ...
Monday, 22 June 09
SOUTH AFRICAN EXPORT COAL DECLINES ON WEAKENING EUROPEAN DEMAND
Prices for coal shipped from South Africa’s Richards Bay, site of the world’s largest export terminal for the fuel, posted the first dro ...
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- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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