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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 16 July 09
JAPAN'S J - POWER STARTS OPS AT NEW 600 MW COAL UNIT
Reuters, a worlds leading news agency reported that, Electric Power Development Co (J-Power) said on Thursday it started commercial operations at it ...
Thursday, 16 July 09
DELIVERY OF COAL MINE EXPLORATION THROUGH NEWCASTLE PORT ROSE 11 PERCENT
July 16th, 2009 Newcastle is a port in Australia that provides services in the delivery of coal from Australia to other countries. Newcastle port ha ...
Thursday, 16 July 09
CIL KEEN ON JOINT VENTURES
* Targets to raise production by 10 m tonnes by 2012
* Plans to tap reserves of abandoned mines
The Hindu, an Indian news paper reported that, t ...
Wednesday, 15 July 09
COAL INDIA INVITES EOI FOR COAL MINING IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES
Economict Tmes reported that, Coal India, a leading PSU with a status of Navratna, today, invited Expression of Interest for selection of strategic ...
Wednesday, 15 July 09
BANGLADESH TO IMPORT COAL FROM INDIA FOR 1 MORE YR
Bangladesh has decided to import coal from neighbour India for another year to save foreign exchange and time, a commerce ministry official said on ...
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Planning Commission, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
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