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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 20 July 09
INDONESIA PRODUCES 72 MILLION MT IN FIRST HALF OF YEAR: OFFICIAL
Indonesia produced 72 million mt of coal in the first half of 2009, or 31.3% of the government’s target this year, a senior government officia ...
Sunday, 19 July 09
JINDAL S&P IN TALKS TO BUY SA COAL MINE FOR RS 350-400 CR (US$ 80 - 90 MILLION)
Economic Times reported that, Naveen Jindal-led Jindal Steel & Power (JSPL) is acquiring a thermal coal mine in South Africa, a top company exec ...
Saturday, 18 July 09
REN POWER CZ COMMISSIONS ANOTHER PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER STATION
COALspot.com (Press Release): REN Power CZ, a company in the Czech Coal Group, has put into operation another photovoltaic power station. The plant ...
Saturday, 18 July 09
THE FUTURE FOR SUPRAMAX FOR NEXT 3 YEARS TILL 2012 WOULD BE AROUND US$ 13,500 PER DAY - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com ( Singapore): The market moved up sharply this week , which was quite unexpected.
The BDI was up by 557 which is an increase of 18 ...
Friday, 17 July 09
CHINA COAL-SPOT PRICES EDGE LOWER, SUPPLY APLENTY
China Mining reported that, spot prices in China's top coal shipping port Qinhuangdao edged lower from a week earlier, as supply grew, offsetting t ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
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