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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 29 October 09
PTC INDIA UNIT CHASES 2.5 MTPA INDONESIAN COAL
Reuters reported that, PTC Energy is in talks with an Indonesian firm to source 2.5 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) coal for its 350-400 MW power to ...
Thursday, 29 October 09
CHINA MAY SEEK THERMAL COAL ELSEWHERE IF AUSTRALIAN EXPORT COSTS RISE, SAYS REPORT
The Australian reported that, CHINA is likely to turn to alternative markets for thermal coal if the cost and availability of Australia's exports a ...
Thursday, 29 October 09
CURRENCIES, ASIA DEMAND TO LIFT EUROPE COAL PRICE
Supportive currency movements and strong Asian demand mean the price of coal delivered into Europe is poised to rise more than 30 percent to above $ ...
Wednesday, 28 October 09
AUSTRALIAN POWER STATION COAL PRICE TOPPED USD 73 A TONNE
Reuters reported that prices of power station coal in Australia, a benchmark for Asia, crept up for the fourth week and topped USD 73 a tonne, as a ...
Wednesday, 28 October 09
MIDDLE EAST COAL EYEING INDIAN POWER PLANTS IN EXCHANGE FOR LONG TERM COAL SUPPLY
Reuters reported that UAE's Middle East Coal is in talks to buy equity stakes in India's power plants in exchange for long term coal supply.
ME ...
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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