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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 31 October 09
FLSMIDTH WINS MAJOR INDIAN COAL HANDLING PROJECT
Top global supplier of minerals processing and materials handling equipment, FL smidth, has won another important coal handling contract in India
...
Saturday, 31 October 09
INDIA OPENING POWER SECTOR TO PRIVATE INVESTMENT, COAL STILL THE FUEL OF CHOICE
Energy Tribune reported that, With coal-fired power plants as the primary source, India’s electricity generation sector space has been dominat ...
Friday, 30 October 09
MINERS TOLD TO SPEND ON LOCAL SERVICE FIRMS
The energy and mineral resources ministry has issued a ministerial regulation ordering mining firms to prioritize hiring domestic service companies ...
Friday, 30 October 09
TATA POWER MAY BUY COAL FROM RIVERSDALE'S MOZAMBIQUE MINES
Bloomberg reported that, Tata Power Ltd., India’s biggest electricity generator outside state control, may buy coal from a mine in Mozambique ...
Thursday, 29 October 09
MMTC AWARDED 12.5 MILLION TONS TO THREE INDIAN TRADERS
COALspot.com (India): State-run trading firm MMTC awarded tenders for the import of 12.5 million tonnes of coal for NTPC to three Indian coal trader ...
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- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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