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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 22 November 09
SHORT PERIOD RATES FOR SUPRAMAX WAS AT US$ 25,000/26,000 PER DAY FOR VESSELS OPENING FAR EAST / SE ASIA - VISTAAR ANALYSIS
COALspot.com (Singapore): Analyised by Capt. Radhakrishnan Reddy, Managing Director of Vistaar Shipping Services, Singapore.
BDI hits a new high ...
Friday, 20 November 09
INDONESIA UNITED TRACTORS PLANS $430 MLN CAPEX IN 2010
Reuters reported that, Indonesian heavy equipment distributor and mining contractor PT United Tractors Tbk plans capital expenditure of $430 million ...
Friday, 20 November 09
DRY BULK SHIP OWNERS HOPE RALLY WILL LAST
Boon times are still on the daily agenda of every dry bulk ship owner these days after one of the toughest year in the industry’s century-old ...
Friday, 20 November 09
NTPC LOOKING FOR LONG TERM CONTRACTS FOR COAL IMPORT
Business Standard of India reported that, State run power firm NTPC today said it is looking for long-term supply of coal from overseas market to me ...
Friday, 20 November 09
CHINESE COKING COAL SUPPLY TO BE 'TIGHT' IN 2010, KGI SAYS
Bloomberg Reported that, Stephen Wang, an analyst with KGI Securities in Taipei, comments on the outlook for Chinese steel production and demand for ...
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- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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