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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 25 November 09
NAPOCOR SCRAPS AWARD OF 715,000 TONS COAL
Top Philippine electricity producer National Power Corp. (Napocor) said on Wednesday it had cancelled plans to award 715,000 tons in coal supply con ...
Wednesday, 25 November 09
RISING FREIGHT RATES HIT COAL IMPORTERS
While state-owned NTPC’s 12.5 million tonne coal import order may have been aimed at plugging the shortage of coal at its thermal power plants ...
Wednesday, 25 November 09
CSN TO BUY RIVERSDALE STAKE TO BOOST COAL SUPPLIES
Cia. Siderurgica Nacional SA plans to buy 16.3 percent of Australian coal-exploration company Riversdale Mining Ltd. for about A$190.5 million ($175 ...
Tuesday, 24 November 09
ICRA DOWNGRADES TNPL`S RATING TO LAA
Credit rating agency, ICRA has revised the long term rating for the Rs 11.25 billion long-term fund-based bank facilities and Rs 1.5 billion non-con ...
Monday, 23 November 09
INDONESIA MINING RULE THREATENS INVESTMENT DRIVE
A new Indonesian mining rule, limiting contract work that can be outsourced and favouring local players, is shaping up as a new blow to plans ...
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- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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