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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 14 December 09
SOUTH AFRICAN STEAM COAL PRICES FIRMING UP FOR Q1 TRADE
Reuters reported that Q1 South African coal prices firmed again slightly largely on Asian demand but European delivered prices were little changed.
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Sunday, 13 December 09
THE FREIGHT MARKET SEEMS TO BE COMING OFF A BIT AND THE MARKET MAY BE SOFT NEXT WEEK - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com (Singapore): "The market softened this week especially in the Cape and Panamax segment , where as the Supramax and Handy size was ...
Sunday, 13 December 09
NAPOCOR CUTS COAL IMPORT PROJECTION FOR 2010
STATE-RUN National Power Corp. slashed its planned coal importation for 2010 to only 200,000 metric tons from 3.4 million MT this year, as the gover ...
Sunday, 13 December 09
CHINESE BUYERS SEEK LARGE TONNAGE OF SOUTH AFRICA STEAM COAL
Reuters reported that Chinese utilities on the coast and inland are seeking several cape cargoes each of South African coal for 2010 delivery becaus ...
Saturday, 12 December 09
QUEENSLAND APPROVES A$4 BILLION COAL TERMINAL PROJECT
Queensland’s state government said it has signed a mandate approving development of the A$4 billion ($3.7 billion) Wiggins Island coal termina ...
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
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