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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Wednesday, 16 December 09
INDONESIA'S FIRST PRIVATE RAILWAY TO BOOST RAK'S MINING INTERESTS
MEC infra to invest $1b in construction of 130-km transport link
A 130-kilometre railway that will ease the transport of raw materials and finish ...
Tuesday, 15 December 09
KOMIPO HAS ISSUED A NEW TENDER FOR 30000 MT OF 5200 NAR KCAL/KG COAL
COALspot.com (South Korea): South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) has issued an new tender for prompt supply of 30000 M ...
Tuesday, 15 December 09
CHINA CUTS IMPORT DUTIES ON COAL, RAISES FOR OTHERS
China will lower import duties on more than 600 products next year, including coal, naphtha and phosphate ore, the Finance Ministry said on Tuesday. ...
Tuesday, 15 December 09
NTPC'S COAL WOES UNLIKELY TO END SOON
State-owned power producer NTPC’s woes over shortages of coal may not end soon. Though the company is importing 12.5 million tonnes of coal&nb ...
Monday, 14 December 09
RICHARDS BAY COAL TO FINISH EXPANSION IN 1ST QUARTER
Richards Bay Coal Terminal, which ships more than a quarter of Europe’s energy coal, said it will complete its Phase 5 expansion project in th ...
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The University of Queensland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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