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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Thursday, 14 January 10
INDIANS RESUME S. AFRICA COAL BUYING AGAINST INDEX - REUTERS
Indian trade buyers have resumed buying of South African prompt coal cargoes after a two-month hiatus but are opting for index-linked pricing, hopin ...
Wednesday, 13 January 10
STEAMING COAL SUPPLY SPOT CONTRACT FOR TAEAN POWER PLANT
COALspot.com (South Korea): Korea Western Power Co., Ltd is looking for total 1.12 million tons of Bituminous Coal for TAEAN Power Plant.
Accord ...
Wednesday, 13 January 10
INDONESIA ISSUES COAL, METAL DECREE
Indonesia has issued a ministerial decree which requires metal and coal miners to set aside a certain amount of their production for domestic needs, ...
Wednesday, 13 January 10
RESTING TIME FOR INDONESIAN COAL LOADING VESSELS
COALspot.com (Indonesia): 11 - 15 vessels are waiting in anchorages of Muara Berau and Tanjung Pemancingan to load total about 700,000 – ...
Wednesday, 13 January 10
SOUTH AFRICA STEAM COAL PRICE FALLS SHARPLY
Reuters reported that South African physical coal prices fell sharply on Tuesday with a March cargo trade at USD 87.5 a tonne FOB Richards Bay and d ...
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- VISA Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Planning Commission, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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