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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 15 January 10
ADARO INDONESIA STILL TOPS IN INDONESIAN COAL EXPORT RANKING
COALspot.com (Indonesia): PT. Adaro Indonesia, the world first Envirocoal producer and Indonesia's second largest thermal coal producer is top coal ...
Friday, 15 January 10
NTPC TO ADD 6,000 MW EACH YEAR IN 12TH PLAN
Will raise total generation capacity to 75,000 Mw by 2017, up from 30,644 Mw at present.
India's largest power generator NTPC, which will launch ...
Friday, 15 January 10
POSCO SAYS 2010 COKING COAL AGREEMENT MAY BE DELAYED - BLOOMBERG
Posco, South Korea’s biggest steelmaker, said an agreement on coking coal prices for this year may be delayed because major suppliers of the s ...
Friday, 15 January 10
CHINA POWER FIRMS SEEK COAL IMPORTS, SUPPLY SCARCE
China's coal-hungry power plants have turned to imported coal to cope with widespread shortages, but spot supply is scarce, traders said on Thursda ...
Thursday, 14 January 10
INDONESIA POWER REDUCES COAL SUPPLY
PT Indonesia Power will reduce coal supplies from PT Tambang Batu Bara Bukit Asam to its Suralaya Power Plant. "The coal supply for the plant s ...
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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