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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 08 February 10
BLACK RIDGE MINING APPOINTS INDEPENDENT CONSULTANT
Australian-listed Black Ridge Mining has announced the appointment of David Tuit as an independent consultant to assist with the assessment of the c ...
Monday, 08 February 10
SOUTH AFRICAN EXPORT COAL RISES FOR FIRST TIME IN FOUR WEEKS
Prices for coal shipped from South Africa’s Richards Bay, the continent’s biggest export facility for the fuel, posted their first gain ...
Monday, 08 February 10
NTPC HOPES TO START ON 500-MW PROJECT IN SRI LANKA BY FEB-END
NTPC sources told Business Standard, “All formalities from our government and NTPC have been completed.
The opinion of the Sri Lankan atto ...
Sunday, 07 February 10
AN AUSTRALIAN FIRM HAS SIGNED A $60BN DEAL TO SUPPLY COAL TO CHINESE POWER STATIONS
Clive Palmer, chairman of the company, Resourcehouse, said it was Australia's "biggest ever export contract".
Under the deal, the firm ...
Saturday, 06 February 10
FREIGHT WOULD CONTINUE TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR SHIPPING
COALspot.com (Singapore): The freight market continued to soften this week including the stock markets. The main reason seems to be Chinese ne ...
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- The University of Queensland
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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