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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Monday, 24 May 10
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- White Energy Company Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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