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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Friday, 28 May 10
INDIAS NEYVELI LIGNITE EYEING INDONESIA, SOUTH AFRICA COAL MINES
Integrated mining and power producer Neyveli Lignite Corporation Thursday said it is exploring possibilities for buying coal mines in Indonesia and ...
Friday, 28 May 10
ADARO ACQUIRES 25% ICP AT US$ 335 MIO
Indonesia's second largest thermal coal miner PT Adaro Energy Tbk (ADRO) today announces formation of new joint venture for Indonesian Coal Project ...
Thursday, 27 May 10
KPCL IS LOOKING FOR 0.50 MLN TON TO IMPORTED STEAMING COAL FOR RAICHUR THERMAL POWER STATION
COALspot.com: KARNATAKA POWER CORPORATION LIMITED, India invited from reputed parties meeting the pre qualifications stipulated for the import ...
Thursday, 27 May 10
TNPL TO BUY 0.240 MLN TON NON-COKING COAL FOR SECOND HALF OF 2010
COALspot.com: Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers Limited (TNPL), would like to procure 0.24 mln MT of imported Non-Coking Coal in 6 Shipments of about ...
Thursday, 27 May 10
DRY BULK RATES REACH 2010 HIGHS, BUT FUTURE REMAINS UNCERTAIN
This week is proving to be a milestone for the dry bulk market, as the Baltic Dry Index has propelled itself at never before seen levels for 2010. Y ...
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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