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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Sunday, 28 August 11
FREIGHT MARKET COULD BE FIRM NEXT MONTH - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued the upward trend first half of the week . However, towards the end of the week lost momentum and the BDI ...
Saturday, 27 August 11
JAPANESE BULK CARRIER SETS RECORD ON NORTHERN SEA ROUTE - BARENTS OBSERVER
The Northern Sea Route will see its third record in less than a month when the largest ever bulk carrier to take the route leaves Murmansk next week ...
Saturday, 27 August 11
RBCT-INDIA ROUNDS FIXED AT AROUND US$ 12K - FEARNBULK
Handy
Stable but very positional markets across all segments in the Atlantic: the gap between owners and charterers rate ideas is building up as o ...
Friday, 26 August 11
TUAH TURANGGA AGUNG ACQUIRES AN ADDITIONAL 40% SHARES IN BARA PRIMA AGUNG
COALspot.com - PT Tuah Turangga Agung, a subsidiary of PT United Tractors Tbk, has signed an acquisition agreement to acquire 40% of PT Bara Prima A ...
Friday, 26 August 11
INTRACO EYES US$200 MIO COAL TAKEOVER - INSIDER STORIES
Heavy equipment distributor PT Intraco Penta Tbk, that was founded by Halex Halim, is scouting a coal acquisition with the valuation above US$200 mi ...
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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