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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Tuesday, 06 September 11
SEMEN GRESIK TO ACQUIRE COAL MINE FOR RP. 1 TRILLION
COALspot.com - PT Semen Gresik Tbk (SMGR) is planning to acquire a low calorific value coal concession (IUP). According to Semen Gresik, the coal mi ...
Tuesday, 06 September 11
DRY BULK MARKETS RALLY POWERS THROUGH TO NEW WEEK, BUT A CORRECTION COULD BE OVERDUE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market’s freights rates kept leaping forwards during the beginning of the week, with the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic D ...
Monday, 05 September 11
TNPL POSTPONES BID OPENING UNTIL 12 SEPTEMBER 2011
COALspot.com - TNPL has postponed submission of the offer until 12 September 2011 on request from the supplier, an Indian trader said.
Due to Ram ...
Monday, 05 September 11
INDONESIAN COAL BENCHMARK PRICE - ANALYSIS
Analyst : Sunil K Kumbhat
COALspot.com - As a part of the Government’s efforts to stop transfer pricing abuses which have resulted in the los ...
Saturday, 03 September 11
FEW SHIPS REPORTED FIXED FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued the upward trend during last week with BDI up by about 13 pct closing at 1,740 points and cape index up ...
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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