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Monday, 07 February 11
COAL PRICES ON RISE: DEMAND FROM INDIA AND CHINA - ANALYZED SUNIL K KUMBHAT
INDONESIA IS HEART OF ASIAN COAL BOOM
COALspot.com - Rising demand of Coal from India and China, coupled with global financial recovery, is driving thermal coal prices that have appreciated in the recent past few months and it is expected that the global prices of Coal shall remain firm and go up further.
Power generation is what is driving the demand of Coal in India and China . In India new coal-fired power plants, ranging in the size from 50 MW to 4,000 MW, are being built throughout India. Power plants are symbol of how rapidly India's economy is expanding.
Similarly China, shall remain a net importer of thermal coal for coming few years as it's economy is growing at firm speed and is expected to deliver mind-boggling growth in 2011. China's coal imports more than doubled to 150 million tonnes from the previous year. Closure of smaller mines, coupled with increased demand from power sector, has triggered China's demand for imported coal.
India has also emerged as one of the major importer of coal. The imports are likely to be around 100-150 million tonnes for the current year as it adds new thermal capacities. India imports about three-fourths of its coal requirement from Indonesia, while South Africa and Australia accounts for the rest.
The quality of Indonesian coal is much better than Indian coal. The gross calorific value of Indonesian coal ranges between 5,000 and 6,500 kilo calories per kilogram (kcl/kg); while for Indian coal it is only 3,000-4,500 kcl/kg- with high ash contents. Bulk of the imported coal in India is used by power companies, which use it to blend with the local coal to improve calorific value. The coal prices also depend upon the ash content and the calorific value .Indonesia’s strategic geographic location makes it the most preferred country for Indian companies for its proximity to the country, which means lower ocean freight charges and better timing compared to other countries such as Australia.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
The higher energy demand in India would drive up import of coal .The overall energy generated in India could double within a decade.
Indian power sector will be heavily depend on coal for decades to come. At the same time, India's steel industry, also dependent on coal, is expected to treble its output within a decade.
But there is growing concern about where all the coal is going to come from. India has significant coal reserves suitable for power generation and boasts the world's biggest coal company - the government-owned Coal India Limited. But the expansion of the Indian economy has been so rapid, demand is outstripping domestic supply.
The government wants the economy to expand at 9-10 per cent a year to help lift millions of poor families out of poverty. But an energy supply crunch could compromise that growth target.
India has theoretically significant reserves but it will take a long time to get into actual production, There is a urgent need to re-examine the regulations and policies associated with exploration, exploitation and production. India is still not fully encouraging commercial coal mining by the private sector.
India's coal reserves are concentrated in the eastern states of Orissa, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal and Madhya Pradesh, where basic logistics infrastructure (such as ports and railways) is lacking. Various government regulation concerning forestry and environmental restrictions are also hindering mine development. Unless such bottlenecks are addressed, growth in domestic coal production could be difficult.'
Due to government regulatory delays, infrastructure bottlenecks and security risks are encouraging Indian firms to look overseas to secure coal supply especially in Indonesia, South Africa, Mozambique, Australia etc. for their ambitious power projects in India.
Indonesia's thermal coal mines have a comparative advantage over Australia's because they are nearer to India but Australia's reputation as a reliable supplier is attractive to Indian buyers.’ Australian mines might be more expensive but they are reliable. Australia’s advantages are that the coal is good and the infrastructure is good'
In spit of all , Australia will face stiff competition from Indonesia - which has lower transport costs. A significant proportion of coal transport in Indonesia is water based, which allows for coal to be transported along rivers via barges to the open sea for loading onto larger vessels. Indonesia’s coal suppliers rely heavily on floating transhipment facilities due to economic reasons.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
Indonesia’s government needs to accelerate reforms for foreign direct investment (FDI) in mining and energy sector to give direct control to foreign investors, in order to win confidence and attract/invite major international companies into Indonesia. There is need of more coordination between Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Deptt , Indonesian Investment Co-ordination Board (BKPM) ,and Various Regional administrations.
The phenomenal growth in Indonesia’s coal exports in last five years reflects the ability of its coal industry to respond to the rapid growth in Asian demand for thermal coal.
Indonesia has huge coal reserves and exporting coal to many countries for use in power plants for generating energy but it is paradoxical that Indonesia is short of energy. Many Indian companies (Tata , Reliance,Jindal ,L&T, Monnet, Adani ,Essar etc) are capable of sharing power technology and setting up mega power plants in Indonesia
Indonesian private companies can buy equity stakes in Indian power plants in exchange / barter for long-term coal supply. Since India is today one of the fastest growing economies and also has a shortage of power supply then such deals can be beneficial to both parties .Indonesian government or Indonesian companies can invite Coal barter bids (CBB) ,where from foreign companies for development of ports , Roads , Railway lines , Power Plants etc. In Coal barter bids , coal will be supplied to party who will set up Power plants or develop infrastructure etc. Coal mining in Indonesia can be an extremely lucrative sector for overall economic growth. Indonesian government should make single window clearance system to operate business in Indonesia to encourage foreign enterprises and Investment for Coal barter bids. Indonesian Coal companies are fully aware that India is a market into which they can export or thru barter transactions, its major share of Coal Production.
Today Indonesia has stable economic outlook and if reform efforts towards basic infrastructures continues it may become Economic Tiger of Asia by 2020.
Today Indonesia is the heart of the Asian Coal boom.
Analyst - Sunil K Kumbhat , Jodhpur (Rajasthan), India
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Friday, 05 January 24
BANGLADESH’S 2023 COAL-FIRED POWER OUTPUT TRIPLED, EASING SHORTAGES - REUTERS
Bangladesh nearly tripled its coal-fired power output in 2023, a Reuters analysis of government data showed, helping it tide over the worst power s ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL TRADE CONTINUES TO HEAD EAST - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The global coal trade, once concentrated in the Pacific and Atlantic basins, is undergoing a significant transformation, as highlighted in the Inte ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
COAL CARGOES: AVOIDING EXPLOSION AND SELF-HEATING - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Despite its contribution to greenhouse gas emissions, global coal consumption climbed to an all-time high in 2022 and is ...
Tuesday, 02 January 24
SINOPEC FORECASTS CHINA’S COAL CONSUMPTION TO PEAK AROUND 2025 - REUTERS
China Petrochemical Corp, or Sinopec, expects coal consumption to peak around 2025 at 4.37 billion metric tons, the state energy group said in an o ...
Thursday, 07 December 23
CHINA TO SET UP COAL PRODUCTION RESERVE TO STABILISE PRICES - REUTERS
China will establish a back-up coal production system by 2027 to stabilise prices and secure coal supply, the state planner said on Wednesday, even ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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