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Monday, 07 February 11
COAL PRICES ON RISE: DEMAND FROM INDIA AND CHINA - ANALYZED SUNIL K KUMBHAT
INDONESIA IS HEART OF ASIAN COAL BOOM
COALspot.com - Rising demand of Coal from India and China, coupled with global financial recovery, is driving thermal coal prices that have appreciated in the recent past few months and it is expected that the global prices of Coal shall remain firm and go up further.
Power generation is what is driving the demand of Coal in India and China . In India new coal-fired power plants, ranging in the size from 50 MW to 4,000 MW, are being built throughout India. Power plants are symbol of how rapidly India's economy is expanding.
Similarly China, shall remain a net importer of thermal coal for coming few years as it's economy is growing at firm speed and is expected to deliver mind-boggling growth in 2011. China's coal imports more than doubled to 150 million tonnes from the previous year. Closure of smaller mines, coupled with increased demand from power sector, has triggered China's demand for imported coal.
India has also emerged as one of the major importer of coal. The imports are likely to be around 100-150 million tonnes for the current year as it adds new thermal capacities. India imports about three-fourths of its coal requirement from Indonesia, while South Africa and Australia accounts for the rest.
The quality of Indonesian coal is much better than Indian coal. The gross calorific value of Indonesian coal ranges between 5,000 and 6,500 kilo calories per kilogram (kcl/kg); while for Indian coal it is only 3,000-4,500 kcl/kg- with high ash contents. Bulk of the imported coal in India is used by power companies, which use it to blend with the local coal to improve calorific value. The coal prices also depend upon the ash content and the calorific value .Indonesia’s strategic geographic location makes it the most preferred country for Indian companies for its proximity to the country, which means lower ocean freight charges and better timing compared to other countries such as Australia.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
The higher energy demand in India would drive up import of coal .The overall energy generated in India could double within a decade.
Indian power sector will be heavily depend on coal for decades to come. At the same time, India's steel industry, also dependent on coal, is expected to treble its output within a decade.
But there is growing concern about where all the coal is going to come from. India has significant coal reserves suitable for power generation and boasts the world's biggest coal company - the government-owned Coal India Limited. But the expansion of the Indian economy has been so rapid, demand is outstripping domestic supply.
The government wants the economy to expand at 9-10 per cent a year to help lift millions of poor families out of poverty. But an energy supply crunch could compromise that growth target.
India has theoretically significant reserves but it will take a long time to get into actual production, There is a urgent need to re-examine the regulations and policies associated with exploration, exploitation and production. India is still not fully encouraging commercial coal mining by the private sector.
India's coal reserves are concentrated in the eastern states of Orissa, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal and Madhya Pradesh, where basic logistics infrastructure (such as ports and railways) is lacking. Various government regulation concerning forestry and environmental restrictions are also hindering mine development. Unless such bottlenecks are addressed, growth in domestic coal production could be difficult.'
Due to government regulatory delays, infrastructure bottlenecks and security risks are encouraging Indian firms to look overseas to secure coal supply especially in Indonesia, South Africa, Mozambique, Australia etc. for their ambitious power projects in India.
Indonesia's thermal coal mines have a comparative advantage over Australia's because they are nearer to India but Australia's reputation as a reliable supplier is attractive to Indian buyers.’ Australian mines might be more expensive but they are reliable. Australia’s advantages are that the coal is good and the infrastructure is good'
In spit of all , Australia will face stiff competition from Indonesia - which has lower transport costs. A significant proportion of coal transport in Indonesia is water based, which allows for coal to be transported along rivers via barges to the open sea for loading onto larger vessels. Indonesia’s coal suppliers rely heavily on floating transhipment facilities due to economic reasons.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
Indonesia’s government needs to accelerate reforms for foreign direct investment (FDI) in mining and energy sector to give direct control to foreign investors, in order to win confidence and attract/invite major international companies into Indonesia. There is need of more coordination between Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Deptt , Indonesian Investment Co-ordination Board (BKPM) ,and Various Regional administrations.
The phenomenal growth in Indonesia’s coal exports in last five years reflects the ability of its coal industry to respond to the rapid growth in Asian demand for thermal coal.
Indonesia has huge coal reserves and exporting coal to many countries for use in power plants for generating energy but it is paradoxical that Indonesia is short of energy. Many Indian companies (Tata , Reliance,Jindal ,L&T, Monnet, Adani ,Essar etc) are capable of sharing power technology and setting up mega power plants in Indonesia
Indonesian private companies can buy equity stakes in Indian power plants in exchange / barter for long-term coal supply. Since India is today one of the fastest growing economies and also has a shortage of power supply then such deals can be beneficial to both parties .Indonesian government or Indonesian companies can invite Coal barter bids (CBB) ,where from foreign companies for development of ports , Roads , Railway lines , Power Plants etc. In Coal barter bids , coal will be supplied to party who will set up Power plants or develop infrastructure etc. Coal mining in Indonesia can be an extremely lucrative sector for overall economic growth. Indonesian government should make single window clearance system to operate business in Indonesia to encourage foreign enterprises and Investment for Coal barter bids. Indonesian Coal companies are fully aware that India is a market into which they can export or thru barter transactions, its major share of Coal Production.
Today Indonesia has stable economic outlook and if reform efforts towards basic infrastructures continues it may become Economic Tiger of Asia by 2020.
Today Indonesia is the heart of the Asian Coal boom.
Analyst - Sunil K Kumbhat , Jodhpur (Rajasthan), India
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Monday, 08 January 24
KOSPO TO BUY 80000 MT OF INDONESIAN LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL FOR FEB 2024
Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), is inviting bids for the supply of Indonesian Low Calorific Value Coal from qualified suppliers for Korean ...
Monday, 08 January 24
SEABORNE TRADE REACHES 12.4BN TONNES - CLARKSONS
China will establish a back-up coal production system by 2027 to stabilise prices and secure coal supply, the state planner said on Wednesday, even ...
Monday, 08 January 24
CAPESIZES START THE NEW YEAR ON POSITIVE NOTE - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Capesize
This week the capsize market has been marked by a mix of activities and challenges. Despite a slow start following the Christmas and N ...
Friday, 05 January 24
MORGAN STANLEY SEES LOWER OIL PRICES IN 2024 ON OVERSUPPLY CONCERNS - REUTERS
Morgan Stanley sees Brent crude prices anchored near $80 per barrel in the first half in 2024 before declining towards the end of the year as it ex ...
Friday, 05 January 24
INDIA'S COAL OUTPUT RISES NEARLY 11 PC IN DEC TO 92.87 MT - PTI
India’s coal production increased by 10.75 per cent to 92.87 million tonne in December 2023 as compared to the year-ago period, an official s ...
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- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
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