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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Sunday, 05 September 10
HARUM ENERGY EYES 7.4 MILION TONS OF COAL OUTPUT IN 2010
Indonesia's coal miner PT Harum Energy Tbk, controlled by Indonesian tycoon Kiki Barki, is eyeing 7.4 million tons of coal production in 2010, a 27 ...
Sunday, 05 September 10
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS BIT VOLATILE WITH NO CLEAR INDICATION OF THE MARKET - CAPT REDDY
COALsopot.com: The freight market was bit volatile with no clear indication of the market.
However the BDI continued the upward trend mainly due ...
Sunday, 05 September 10
NOROCHCHOLAI POWER PLANT TO BE COMMISSIONED ON JANUARY 1
Daily news reported that, the Norochcholai coal power plant will be commissioned on January 1, 2011 adding 300 megawatts to the national power grid ...
Friday, 03 September 10
BANPU CUTS INDONESIAN HOLDING BUT ITM REMAINS KEY STRATEGIC UNIT - BANGKOK POST
"SET-listed Banpu Plc, Asean's largest coal miner, yesterday announced the sale of an 8.72% stake in its listed coalmining holding company in ...
Friday, 03 September 10
NALCO, INDONESIAN FIRM DIFFER ON COAL SUPPLY TO SMELTER - DNA INDIA
A few days ago, National Aluminium Company (Nalco) advertised in Indonesian newspapers asking for companies to bid for coal supplies for its 500,000 ...
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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