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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 13 September 10
FREIGHT MARKETS MAY BE A BIT SOFT THIS WEEK - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com: The freight market continued its upward trend with the BDI almost touching 3000 points. However the uncertainty seems to continue with ...
Friday, 10 September 10
INDONESIAN RAILWAY CONTRACT STILL UP FOR BIDDING - LOGISTICS WEEK
The tender process for a $2.2bn project to build a coal-transporting railway line in Central Kalimantan province, Indonesia, is still underway and n ...
Friday, 10 September 10
WCI INTO CHINA WITH IRON ORE ARE AIMING AROUND $ 20K - FEARNBULK
Handy
The rates are firm in every corner of the world. However it still looks Atlantic/Baltic/Black Sea offer better employment opportunities for ...
Thursday, 09 September 10
INDIANS BALCO TO BUY 50 K OF 3,000 TO 4,500 GAR CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: Bharat Aluminium Company Limited (BALCO) is a subsidiary of Sterlite Industries (India) Limited and part of Vedanta Resources PLC, a L ...
Thursday, 09 September 10
INDONESIA SWAPS COAL FOR INFRASTRUCTURE - FT
As Asia’s major economies bound forward and their hunger for energy surges over the next decade, Indonesia is strategically positioned to take ...
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- PTC India Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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