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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 21 December 10
CIL TOLD TO SCOUT MINES ABROAD TO BRIDGE COAL DEFICIT - ECONOMIC TIMES
Economic Times reported that, The government asked state-owned CIL to look for acquiring assets abroad to meet the domestic shortfall of coal.
&q ...
Tuesday, 21 December 10
SHIPPING INDUSTRY RECOVERING, BUT STILL HAMPERED BY OVERSUPPLY OF VESSELS AND DEPRESSED FREIGHT RATES - UNCTAD / HELLENIC SHIPPING
International seaborne trade contracted by 4.5 per cent in 2009, reports UNCTAD´s Review of Maritime Transport 2010 . That decline put seaborn ...
Sunday, 19 December 10
SPOT SUPRAMAX VESSELS WERE FIXED AROUND US$ 13,000 PER DAY FOR TRIP VIA INDONESIA TO INDIA - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to be soft with the BDI down by 96 points and closed at 1,999 points, touching below 2,000 points on Fri ...
Friday, 17 December 10
THE PANAMAX MARKET HAS EXPERIENCED A SOFTER TENDENCY THIS WEEK - FEARNBULK
Handy
Monotonous Atlantic markets with little fresh enquiry in Black Sea/Med/Continent. Large Supras are achieving usd 21/22k for TA rounds - 2/3 ...
Friday, 17 December 10
NALCO SHORTLISTS COAL FIRMS FOR INDONESIA PROJECT - BUSINESS-STANDARD
Business-Standard reported that, State-owned NALCO today said it has shortlisted two firms for supply of coal for its Rs 18,000-crore (US$ 3,953,003 ...
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
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