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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 22 December 10
INDONESIAN COAL LOAD PORT WEATHER CONDITION AND DELAYS
COALspot.com - The several leading shipping agents in Indonesia, said due to rainy season in Indonesia, loading activities in coal loading ports hav ...
Wednesday, 22 December 10
COAL INDIA CLOSE TO BUYING 15% STAKE IN AUSTRALIAN MINE - ECONOMIC TIMES
Economic Times reported that, Coal India (CIL) is close to buying a stake between 10% to 15% in an Australian mine owned by Peabody, a US company.
...
Wednesday, 22 December 10
CAPESIZE FUTURES MARKET RATES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THEIR DRIFT DOWN IN 2011 - BRS
Nearly two months of weekly declines in the Baltic Capesize Index were finally halted last week with a small 1% increase Friday-to-Friday. The impro ...
Wednesday, 22 December 10
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR DIRECTION AMID HOLIDAYS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market isn’t exhibiting a “festive” behavior, thus cheering ship owners and investors alike. Instead, the industry&rs ...
Tuesday, 21 December 10
CHINA COAL CAP TO BOOST GLOBAL M&A - FINANCIER WORLD WIDE
Financier World Wide reported that, Chinese state-run media has reported that the Central Government intends to cap domestic coal production for fea ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PTC India Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
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